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Exhibit 2 Bachelor’s Degree Recipients And Allopathic Medical School Applicants, 1961–2002 And Projected To 2012

SOURCES: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) and Association of American Medical Colleges

NOTES: Projections of the number of bachelor’s degrees are the middle series from the NCES. Author’s calculations of projected medical school applicants were based on the NCES middle-series projections of male and female bachelor’s degree recipients and trends in rates of application to medical school among men and women over the period 1975–2000. Vertical line denotes the beginning of projected trends. Dotted line pertains to the right y axis; solid lines pertain to the left y axis.