Posting date: June 21, 2005
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Health Affairs, 10.1377/hlthaff.w5.286
Copyright © 2005 by Project HOPE


Web Exclusives

Tracking Health Care Costs: Declining Growth Trend Pauses In 2004

Bradley C. Strunk 1*, Paul B. Ginsburg 2, John P. Cookson 3

1 Bradley Strunk is a health researcher at the Center for Studying Health System Change in Washington, D.C.
2 Paul Ginsburg is the center's president.
3 John Cookson is a principal with the consulting firm Milliman Inc. in Wayne, Pennsylvania.

*Corresponding author.

  Abstract

Health care spending increased 8.2 percent in 2004. This was virtually unchanged from 2003, which suggests that health care cost trends have stabilized. Hospital spending grew 10.1 percent in 2004, also virtually unchanged from 2003, reflecting a small increase in the hospital utilization trend and a small decline in hospital price inflation. Meanwhile, growth in prescription drug spending continued to fall as a result of slower growth in prices. Growth in health insurance premiums slowed again in 2005, likely reflecting earlier years' slowing in cost trends and signaling that a turn in the insurance underwriting cycle might be under way.

Key Words: Business Of Health, Consumer Issues, Health Reform, Hospitals, Pharmaceuticals, Physicians, Health Spending


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