Health Affairs, 22, no. 4 (2003): 71-84 doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.22.4.71 © 2003 by Project HOPE	New Online   House Health Reform Bill   Paying for Reform   Vetting AHIP's Report   HIV/AIDS Costs   Brief: Insurance Reform   HA Blog Top 10

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Medical Schools And Their Applicants: An Analysis

View larger version (27K): [in a new window]   Exhibit 1 Medical Schools, Matriculants, And Graduates, Allopathic And Osteopathic, 1940–2002 SOURCES: American Medical Association, American Osteopathic Association, and Association of American Medical Colleges NOTES: Data are expressed as a ratio to the levels that existed during the period 1935–1940 (1935–1940 = 1.0). Both allopathic and osteopathic schools are included. "Pre-1960 school" refers to schools existing before 1960, as a way of measuring the impact of newly constructed medical schools as compared with increased class sizes in existing medical schools.

View larger version (35K): [in a new window]   Exhibit 2 Bachelor’s Degree Recipients And Allopathic Medical School Applicants, 1961–2002 And Projected To 2012 SOURCES: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) and Association of American Medical Colleges NOTES: Projections of the number of bachelor’s degrees are the middle series from the NCES. Author’s calculations of projected medical school applicants were based on the NCES middle-series projections of male and female bachelor’s degree recipients and trends in rates of application to medical school among men and women over the period 1975–2000. Vertical line denotes the beginning of projected trends. Dotted line pertains to the right y axis; solid lines pertain to the left y axis.

View larger version (22K): [in a new window]   Exhibit 3 First-Time Applicants To Allopathic Medical Schools, 1960–2002 SOURCE: Association of American Medical Colleges NOTES: Data from before 1982 and for 2002 were extrapolated based on relationships between first-time and total applicants during periods of rising and falling applications. Numbers of white male applicants were extrapolated from data on males and whites.

View larger version (23K): [in a new window]   Exhibit 4 First-Time Medical School Applicants As A Percentage Of Baccalaureates, 1977–2000 SOURCES: Association of American Medical Colleges and National Center for Education Statistics NOTES: Data are for the fifty states only; Commonwealth of Puerto Rico schools are excluded. Series are derived from biennial data between 1977 and 1989 (1983 omitted) and annual data from 1989 to 2000. Data for missing years were estimated by linear interpolation.

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