Health Affairs, 26, no. 1 (2007): 38-48
doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.26.1.38
© 2007 by Project HOPE
 
New Online
 * Getting Health Reform Done
 * After the State of the Union
 * Incremental Reform
 * E-Health in Developing World
 * Most-Read Articles in 2009
This Article
* Abstract Freely available
* Figures Only
* Reprint (PDF)
* Submit a response to this article
* Alert me when this article is cited
* Alert me when Comments are posted
* Alert me if a correction is posted
Services
* E-mail this article to a friend
* Similar articles in this journal
* Similar articles in Web of Science
* Similar articles in PubMed
* Alert me to new issues of the journal
* Add to My Personal Archive
* Download to Citation Manager
*Reprints & Permissions
Citing Articles
* Citing Articles via HighWire
* Citing Articles via Web of Science (16)
* Citing Articles via Google Scholar
Google Scholar
* Articles by Mensah, G. A.
* Articles by Brown, D. W.
* Search for Related Content
PubMed
* PubMed Citation
* Articles by Mensah, G. A.
* Articles by Brown, D. W.
Related Collections
* Chronic Care
* Health Spending
* Consumer Issues
* Cardiovascular Disease

Trends

An Overview Of Cardiovascular Disease Burden In The United States

George A. Mensah and David W. Brown

   Abstract
 
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death and a major cause of disability worldwide. In the United States, CVD accounted for 34.4 percent of the 2.4 million deaths in 2003 and remain a major cause of health disparities and rising health care costs. In 2006, health care spending and lost productivity from CVD exceeded $400 billion. The aging population, obesity epidemic, underuse of prevention strategies, and suboptimal control of risk factors could exacerbate the future CVD burden. Increased adherence to clinical and community-level guidelines and renewed emphasis on policy, environmental, and lifestyle changes will be crucial for its effective prevention and control.


WORLD WIDE, CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE (CVD) is the leading cause of death and a major cause of disability and lost productivity in adults.1 In the United States, heart disease and stroke—the principal components of CVD—rank first and third, respectively, among the leading causes of death.2 The term CVD, as used in this paper, includes rheumatic fever (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision [ICD-10] codes I00–I02 and I05–I09); hypertensive diseases (I10–I15); ischemic heart diseases (I20–I25); pulmonary heart disease and diseases of pulmonary circulation (I26–I28); other forms of heart disease (I30–I52); cerebrovascular diseases or stroke (I60–I69); diseases of arteries, arterioles, and capillaries (I70–I79); other diseases of veins, lymphatic vessels, and lymph nodes (I80–I89); other and unspecified disorders of the circulatory system (I95–I99); and congenital malformations or birth defects of the circulatory system (Q20–Q28).3

These diseases are common and occur in infants, children, and adults of both sexes, and they affect people of all races and ethnicities. The lifetime risk for a forty-year-old developing coronary heart disease is roughly 50 percent in men and 32 percent in women.4 In this paper we present an overview of the CVD burden in the United States using epidemiologic data on the magnitude and trends of CVD and their implications for policy and program development for cardiovascular health promotion and CVD prevention.

   The CVD Burden And Trends In The United States
 Top
 The CVD Burden And...
 Cardiovascular Disease And Cause...
 Epidemiological Evidence For...
 NOTES
 
Prevalence and incidence. An estimated one in three U.S. adults (about 71.3 million) have one or more types of CVD.5 The prevalence increases with advancing age and varies within racial, ethnic, geographic, and sociodemographic groups. Among the 71.3 million adults with one or more forms of CVD, the most prevalent conditions are hypertension or high blood pressure (65 million), coronary heart disease (13.2 million), stroke (5.5 million), heart failure (5 million), and congenital heart defects (1 million).6 Exhibit 1Go shows the prevalence of four major CVD categories.


Figure 1
View larger version (17K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]

 
EXHIBIT 1 Prevalence Of Cardiovascular Diseases In The U.S. Noninstitutionalized Civilian Population Age Eighteen And Older, By Race/Ethnicity, 2004

 
Although advancing age is the most powerful risk factor for CVD, about 62 percent of adults living with CVD are younger than age sixty-five. In particular, men and women ages 55–64 are a special concern. In this age group, 52.0 percent of men and 56.5 percent of women live with one or more forms of CVD.7 Children and young adults also represent an important age group. Although the overall incidence of CVD in children and young adults is low (600 cases per year), sudden cardiac death accounts for one in five unexpected sudden deaths among children ages 1–13 and for one in three among those ages 14–21.8 Congenital heart defects, a common cause of infant death from birth defects, affect thousands of newborns each year.9

Mortality. Heart disease and stroke are the first and third leading causes of death in the United States, respectively.10 These two disease categories accounted for 34.4 percent of the 2.4 million deaths in 2003 (Exhibit 2Go).11 In fact, excluding deaths from cancer, heart disease and stroke were responsible for more deaths in 2003 than all of the remaining causes among the fifteen leading causes of death combined (including chronic diseases of the lungs, accidents, diabetes, influenza and pneumonia, and assault). About 45 percent of the deaths from CVD are caused by ischemic or coronary heart disease.12 Other major diagnoses that contribute to CVD deaths are stroke (14 percent), heart failure (5 percent), and hypertension and hypertensive heart disease (4 percent).13 In 2003, congenital cardiovascular defects contributed only 0.5 percent of CVD deaths; however, they remain a leading cause of death in infants and children.14 For example, congenital heart defects accounted for 1,445 infant deaths in 2003—nearly 26 percent of the infant deaths from all congenital defects.15


Figure 2
View larger version (31K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]

 
EXHIBIT 2 Total Deaths And Age-Adjusted Death Rates (Per 100,000 Population) For The Fifteen Leading Causes Of Death In The Total U.S. Population, 2003

 
The remarkable declines in the age-adjusted death rate from heart disease and stroke represent one of the greatest public health achievements of the twentieth century.16 Since 1940, the age-adjusted mortality rate has declined more than 56 percent for heart disease and more than 70 percent for stroke.17

Outpatient and emergency department visits for heart disease and stroke. Outpatient visits to physicians’ offices and admissions or discharges from emergency departments (EDs) represent another important measure of the burden of CVD. In 2003 alone, there were nearly 70.7 million outpatient physician office visits and 4.5 million ED admissions with a primary diagnosis of CVD.18 High blood pressure, acute and chronic heart failure, and chest pain (that may represent life-threatening conditions such as a heart attack) are among the chief reasons for outpatient physician office visits and ED admissions. For example, outpatient and ED data for 1999–2000 showed that essential hypertension alone accounted for 37.5 million combined ambulatory care visits and represented the leading cause of outpatient visits.19

Hospitalization for heart disease and stroke. CVD remains a leading cause of admissions or discharges from short-stay hospitals and nursing homes. For example, in 2003 heart disease as a first-listed diagnosis was the highest-ranked disease category for hospital discharges and represented a 31 percent increase over discharges in 1979.20 In fact, analysis of hospital discharge data for 1979–2003 shows sizable increases in hospitalization (expressed as a percentage) for major CVD, including coronary heart disease (16 percent), stroke (29 percent), and chronic heart failure (174 percent).21 Between 1970 and 2000, the total number of stroke-related hospitalizations increased among people age sixty-five or older (372,000 in 1970 versus 711,000 in 2000), although rates of hospitalization remained stable (20.7 per 1,000 in 1970 versus 20.4 per 1,000 in 2000).22 Rates were similar for men and women during this period, while rates for blacks increased from 14.0 per 1,000 in 1970 to 20.6 per 1,000 in 2000 (Exhibit 3Go).23


Figure 3
View larger version (19K):
[in this window]
[in a new window]

 
EXHIBIT 3 Age-Adjusted Rates Of Hospital Discharge Per 1,000 Civilian U.S. Residents Age Sixty-Five And Older As A Result Of A Primary Diagnosis Of Cerebrovascular Disease, By Sex And Race, 1970–2000

 
Economic burden of CVD. CVD is the most costly disease in the United States.24 Using data from multiple sources, the American Heart Association has compiled a detailed table of 2006 estimates of the direct and indirect costs of heart diseases, coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertensive heart disease, heart failure, and total CVD.25 The estimated health care spending and lost productivity (direct and indirect costs) of total CVD exceed $400 billion (Exhibit 4Go). Data from the 2003 Healthcare Costs and Utilization Project (HCUP) also show that the mean charges for individual cardiovascular procedures are among the most expensive and include at least two procedures with mean charges of $118,656 (for heart valve procedure) and $103,680 (for implantable defibrillator).26


View this table:
[in this window]
[in a new window]

 
EXHIBIT 4 Estimated Direct And Indirect Costs (In Billions Of Dollars) Of Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) And Stroke, United States, 2006

 
Cardiovascular health disparities. Disparities in cardiovascular health and health care are pervasive and well documented.27 Although much progress has been made, striking disparities persist in many aspects of cardiovascular care by race/ethnicity, age group, and state, as noted earlier.28 In spite of impressive declines in mortality, marked disparities in CVD mortality persist within and between population subgroups defined by race/ethnicity or age. For example, Akira Sekikawa and Lewis Kuller found as much as a 2.5-fold difference in CHD mortality between black and white women ages 45–54, and a threefold difference among similarly aged white and black women by state.29 Similarly striking disparities in stroke mortality exist between blacks and whites and among blacks by state.30

Exhibit 5Go shows racial/ethnic disparities in premature mortality from major cardiovascular diseases in 2003.31 Overall, the death rate was twofold greater for blacks than for whites for each five-year age group for ages 20–64. For coronary heart disease, 17 percent of the 480,028 deaths in 2003 occurred among people under age sixty-five. The proportion of premature deaths from coronary heart disease was greater among blacks (28 percent, number of deaths = 49,274), American Indians (34 percent, 1,905), and Asian or Pacific Islanders (21 percent, 7,367) compared with whites (16 percent, 421,482), although some of this difference might be accounted for by the age distributions of these groups.32


View this table:
[in this window]
[in a new window]

 
EXHIBIT 5 Death Rates From Major Cardiovascular Diseases In Blacks And Whites Ages 20–64, United States, 2003

 
Compared with white adults, hospitalization rates for hypertension in 2000 were six times higher among black adults ages 18–44, more than five times higher among blacks ages 45–64, and nearly three times higher among blacks age sixty-five and older.33 Hospitalization rates for angina and congestive heart failure were also much higher among blacks than among whites.34 Sex disparities in cardiovascular health care and mortality are also pervasive, although recent data show some major improvements. For example, Jeffrey Pearcy and Kenneth Keppel have shown that from 1989 to 1998, disparities in CVD mortality decreased based on sex but were largely unchanged based on race/ethnicity.35

   Cardiovascular Disease And Cause For Alarm
 Top
 The CVD Burden And...
 Cardiovascular Disease And Cause...
 Epidemiological Evidence For...
 NOTES
 
Several important positive trends have been documented for CVD in the past century. The dramatic declines in age-adjusted mortality from heart disease, stroke, and total cardiovascular diseases and the major declines in population mean blood pressure and cholesterol levels represent key examples. Nevertheless, there are many powerful adverse patterns in CVD epidemiology that hold the potential for unraveling many of the public health achievements of the past century. Chief among these adverse trends is the graying of America. Advancing age is the most powerful risk factor for CVD; therefore, the aging of the U.S. population and the demographic changes projected for 2020 and beyond will have a major impact on the prevalence of and cost of care for CVD.36

Second, the continuing epidemics of childhood obesity and of obesity and type 2 diabetes in adults represent major public health challenges likely to increase the morbidity and mortality from CVD.37 In barely four decades, from 1963–1965 to 1999–2002, the prevalence of overweight nearly quadrupled (from 4.6 percent to 16.1 percent) in adolescents ages 12–19 and more than tripled (from 4.2 percent to 15.8 percent) in children ages 6–11. Among children ages 5–11, data from the Bogalusa Heart Study have shown that 27.1 percent now have one or more risk factors for heart disease and that an additional 6.9 percent have two or more risk factors.38 Taken together, these epidemiological findings are great cause for alarm.

Third, the declining prevalence of adults with no known major CVD risk factors is another important concern. Using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), we demonstrated that the proportion of adults with no self-reported major CVD risk factors declined from 42 percent in 1991 to 36 percent in 2001.39 The decline was noted in both men and women in nearly all states, racial/ethnic populations, age groups, and education levels.40 In addition, the self-reported prevalence of CVD risk factors (high blood pressure, high cholesterol, diabetes, and obesity) among U.S. adults increased, whereas the prevalence of smoking remained nearly the same during that decade.41 The recent reports of increasing prevalence of metabolic syndrome, a marker of CVD risk-factor clustering, also suggest that the prevalence of low CVD risk factor profiles is decreasing.42 The actual prevalence of truly low-risk people (those with favorable levels of measured blood cholesterol and blood pressure who do not smoke and do not have diagnosed diabetes, myocardial infarction, or electrocardiographic abnormalities) has been estimated at about 5–10 percent, much lower than self-reported in BRFSS data and most likely declining.43

Fourth, the increasing use of expensive diagnostic and therapeutic procedures is another important issue. Over the past two to three decades, the total number of inpatient diagnostic and therapeutic procedures have increased dramatically. For example, from 1979 to 2003, total inpatient operations and procedures for CVD increased 470 percent, and the volume of cardiac catheterizations alone increased 373 percent.44 The mean charges for these procedures have also increased greatly.45 These trends are highlighted not to suggest impropriety or inappropriate use of operations and procedures but to emphasize the potential impact that effective programs for preventing CVD can have on health care costs and resource use.

   Epidemiological Evidence For Hope, And The Policy Implications
 Top
 The CVD Burden And...
 Cardiovascular Disease And Cause...
 Epidemiological Evidence For...
 NOTES
 
The social, environmental, and biological determinants and risk factors for CVD are well established.46 Safe and effective interventions are available for primordial, primary, and secondary prevention and control of CVD. Although adherence to established practice guidelines that promote these best practices is suboptimal, there is evidence that it is improving and that improved adherence has an effect on survival and quality of life.47 In fact, life-table analyses on the elimination of specific causes of death suggest that the gains from effective prevention and control of CVD would exceed those of any other cause of death: Life expectancy would rise by almost seven years, but only three years if cancer were eliminated as a cause of death.48 The gains in life expectancy predicted from the elimination of CVD is not surprising considering the important role that CVD plays as the leading cause of death. A similarly large impact on the reduction and eventual elimination of health disparities might also be seen because CVD contributes greatly to health disparities, particularly among people with fewer years of education and among African Americans.49

The availability of drug and nondrug strategies that could reduce cardiovascular events provides hope that CVD can be eliminated. The prevalence of many cardiovascular risk factors is declining in the United States, although increases in some risk factors are present, particularly among some population subgroups.50 Smoking prevalence continues to decline, and U.S. cigarette sales continue to fall.51 Declines in total cholesterol levels observed between 1960 and the early 1990s and in levels of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol from the late 1970s to early 1990s in the United States continue.52 These advances are tempered by increases in the prevalence of hypertension, obesity, and diabetes.53

Although additional evidence is needed, the simultaneous reduction of four cardiovascular risk factors (LDL cholesterol, blood pressure, serum homocysteine, and platelet function) using one combination pill (so-called polypill) administered to people with existing CVD and everyone age fifty-five and older without any screening and without requiring risk factors to be measured has the potential to reduce ischemic heart disease events and strokes.54 Also, data from one study using an evidence-based recipe (Polymeal) that includes wine, fish, dark chocolate, fruits, vegetables, garlic, and almonds suggest the potential to reduce CVD events and increase life expectancy.55 Although intriguing, these findings and their policy implications remain controversial and deserve systematic evaluation.

Nevertheless, the epidemiological data provide support for renewed emphasis on both individual level as well as populationwide strategies, including policy and environmental changes for cardiovascular health promotion and the aggressive prevention, treatment, and control of CVD risk factors in all settings including schools, worksites, health care providers, and the community at large.

CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES, principally heart disease and stroke, rank first and third, respectively, among the leading causes of death in the United States. They are also a leading cause of morbidity and are partly responsible for persisting and sometimes marked disparities in life expectancy and overall health. The rising hospitalization rate for major CVD and marked increase in inpatient operations and procedures also contributes greatly to rising health care costs. As the U.S. population ages and adverse trends of major risk factors including the epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes continue, CVD will take on even greater clinical, public health, and economic importance. The time has come for epidemiological data to play an even greater role in informing the development, implementation, and evaluation of cardiovascular health care policies. Applying the best available science through increased adherence to established clinical and community-level guidelines; comprehensive worksite health promotion programs; and renewed emphasis on supportive policy, environmental, and lifestyle changes beginning in infants, children, and young adults will be crucial for achieving the national Healthy People 2010 goals for CVD.56

   Editor's Notes
 
George Mensah (GMensah{at}cdc.gov) is chief medical officer, Office of the Director, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, in Atlanta, Georgia. David Brown is an epidemiologist in the Division of Adult and Community Health in that center.

The findings and conclusions in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

   NOTES
 Top
 The CVD Burden And...
 Cardiovascular Disease And Cause...
 Epidemiological Evidence For...
 NOTES
 

  1. A.D. Lopez et al., eds., Global Burden of Disease and Risk Factors (New York: Oxford University Press, 2006); and C.J.L. Murray and A.D. Lopez, The Global Burden of Disease : A Comparative Assessment of Mortality and Disability from Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors in 1990 and Projected to 2020, vol. 1 (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1996).
  2. National Center for Health Statistics, Health, United States, 2005, with Chartbook on Trends in the Health of Americans (Hyattsville, Md.: NCHS, 2005).
  3. World Health Organization, International Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (Geneva: WHO, 1992).
  4. D.M. Lloyd-Jones et al., "Lifetime Risk of Developing Coronary Heart Disease," Lancet 353, no. 9147 (1999): 89–92.[CrossRef][Web of Science][Medline]
  5. T. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2006 Update: A Report from the American Heart Association Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee," Circulation 113, no. 6 (2006): e85–e151.[Free Full Text]
  6. Ibid.
  7. Ibid.
  8. Ibid.
  9. Ibid.
  10. NCHS, Health, United States, 2005; and D.L. Hoyert et al., "Deaths: Final Data for 2003," National Vital Statistics Reports 54, no. 13 (2006): 1–120.
  11. Ibid.
  12. Ibid.
  13. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics"; and Hoyert et al.,, "Deaths."
  14. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics"; and R.S. Boneva et al., "Mortality Associated with Congenital Heart Defects in the United States: Trends and Racial Disparities, 1979–1997," Circulation 103, no. 19 (2001): 2376–2381.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  15. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics."
  16. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, "Achievements in Public Health, 1900–1999: Decline in Deaths from Heart Disease and Stroke—United States, 1900–1999," Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 48, no. 30 (1999): 649–656.
  17. Ibid.
  18. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics"; NCHS, National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey: 2003 Summary, Advance Data from Vital and Health Statistics no. 365 (Hyattsville, Md.: NCHS, 2005); and NCHS, National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey: Emergency Department Summary, 2003, Advance Data from Vital and Health Statistics no. 358 (Hyattsville, Md.: NCHS, 2005).
  19. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics."
  20. NCHS, National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey.
  21. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics"; and NCHS, "National Hospital Discharge Survey, 2001: Annual Summary with Detailed Diagnosis and Procedure Data," Vital and Health Statistics 13, no. 156 (2004).
  22. A. Ahmed et al., "Cerebrovascular Diseases as Primary Hospital Discharge Diagnoses: National Trend (1970–2000) among Older Adults," Journals of Gerontology, Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences 60, no. 10 (2005): 1328–1332.[Web of Science]
  23. Ibid.
  24. National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Fact Book, Fiscal Year 2005, http://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/about/05factbk.pdf (accessed 25 August 2006).
  25. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics."
  26. Ibid.
  27. G.A. Mensah, "Eliminating Disparities in Cardiovascular Health: Six Strategic Imperatives and a Framework for Action," Circulation 111, no. 10 (2005): 1332–1336[Abstract/Free Full Text]; G.A. Mensah et al., "State of Disparities in Cardiovascular Health in the United States," Circulation 111, no. 10 (2005): 1233–1241[Abstract/Free Full Text]; and V. Vaccarino et al., "Sex and Racial Differences in the Management of Acute Myocardial Infarction, 1994 through 2002," New England Journal of Medicine 353, no. 7 (2005): 671–682.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  28. A. Sekikawa and L.H. Kuller, "Striking Variation in Coronary Heart Disease Mortality in the United States among Black and White Women Aged 45–54 by State," Journal of Women’s Health and Gender-Based Medicine 9, no. 5 (2000): 545–558[CrossRef][Web of Science][Medline]; and G. Howard and V.J. Howard, "Ethnic Disparities in Stroke: The Scope of the Problem," Ethnicity and Disease 11, no. 4 (2001): 761–768.[Medline]
  29. Sekikawa and Kuller, "Striking Variation."
  30. Howard and Howard, "Ethnic Disparities in Stroke."
  31. "Premature" mortality in this paper refers to the years of potential life lost (YPLL) before age seventy-five. See Table 30 in NCHS, Health, United States, 2005.
  32. NCHS, "Table 210F: Deaths from Ischemic Heart Disease by Five-Year Age Group, Race, and Sex," 22 March 2006, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/statab/Mortfinal2003_worktable210f.pdf (accessed 17 October 2006).
  33. J.S. Holmes et al., "Heart Disease and Prevention: Race and Age Differences in Heart Disease Prevention, Treatment, and Mortality," Medical Care 43, no. 3 Supp. (2005): I33–I41.
  34. Ibid.
  35. J.N. Pearcy and K.G. Keppel, "A Summary Measure of Health Disparity," Public Health Reports 117, no. 3 (2002): 273–280.[Web of Science][Medline]
  36. D.K. Foot et al., "Demographics and Cardiology, 1950–2050," Journal of the American College of Cardiology 35, no. 5, Supp. B (2000): 66B–80B; and R. SoRelle, "Global Epidemic of Cardiovascular Disease Expected by the Year 2050," Circulation 100, no. 20 (1999): e101.[Free Full Text]
  37. A.A. Hedley et al., "Prevalence of Overweight and Obesity among U.S. Children, Adolescents, and Adults, 1999–2002," Journal of the American Medical Association 291, no. 23 (2004): 2847–2850[Abstract/Free Full Text]; K.M. Flegal et al., "Excess Deaths Associated with Underweight, Overweight, and Obesity," Journal of the American Medical Association 293, no. 15 (2005): 1861–1867[Abstract/Free Full Text]; and R.H. Eckel et al., "Prevention Conference VII: Obesity, a Worldwide Epidemic Related to Heart Disease and Stroke: Executive Summary," Circulation 110, no. 18 (2004): 2968–2975.[Free Full Text]
  38. D.S. Freedman et al., "The Relation of Overweight to Cardiovascular Risk Factors among Children and Adolescents: The Bogalusa Heart Study," Pediatrics 103, no. 6, Part 1 (1999): 1175–1182.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  39. N. Paynter et al., "Declining Prevalence of No Known Major Risk Factors for Heart Disease and Stroke among Adults—United States, 1991–2001," Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 53, no. 1 (2004): 4–7.
  40. Ibid.
  41. Ibid.
  42. E.S. Ford, W.H. Giles, and A.H. Mokdad, "Increasing Prevalence of the Metabolic Syndrome among U.S. Adults," Diabetes Care 27, no. 10 (2004): 2444–2449[Abstract/Free Full Text]; and G.E. Duncan, S.M. Li, and X.H. Zhou, "Prevalence and Trends of a Metabolic Syndrome Phenotype among U.S. Adolescents, 1999–2000," Diabetes Care 27, no. 10 (2004): 2438–2443.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  43. J. Stamler et al., "Low Risk-Factor Profile and Long-Term Cardiovascular and Noncardiovascular Mortality and Life Expectancy: Findings for Five Large Cohorts of Young Adult and Middle-Aged Men and Women," Journal of the American Medical Association 282, no. 21 (1999): 2012–2018[Abstract/Free Full Text]; and Paynter et al.,, "Changes in Prevalence of Adults."
  44. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics."
  45. Ibid.
  46. See, for example, S. Yusuf et al., "Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases, Part I: General Considerations, the Epidemiologic Transition, Risk Factors, and Impact of Urbanization," Circulation 104, no. 22 (2001): 2746–2753[Abstract/Free Full Text]; S. Yusuf et al., "Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases, Part II: Variations in Cardiovascular Disease by Specific Ethnic Groups and Geographic Regions and Prevention Strategies," Circulation 104, no. 23 (2001): 2855–2864[Abstract/Free Full Text]; and J. Stamler, "Established Major Coronary Risk Factors," in Coronary Heart Disease Epidemiology: From Aetiology to Public Health, ed. M. Marmot and P. Elliott (New York: Oxford University Press, 1992), 35–66.
  47. Thom et al., "Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics"; K.A. Eagle et al., "Guideline-Based Standardized Care Is Associated with Substantially Lower Mortality in Medicare Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction: The American College of Cardiology’s Guidelines Applied in Practice (GAP) Projects in Michigan," Journal of the American College of Cardiology 46, no. 7 (2005): 1242–1248[Abstract/Free Full Text]; and R.H. Mehta et al., "Enhancing Quality of Care for Acute Myocardial Infarction: Shifting the Focus of Improvement from Key Indicators to Process of Care and Tool Use: The American College of Cardiology Acute Myocardial Infarction Guidelines Applied in Practice Project in Michigan: Flint and Saginaw Expansion," Journal of the American College of Cardiology 43, no. 12 (2004): 2166–2173.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  48. R.N. Anderson, U.S. Decennial Life Tables for 1989–91, Volume 1, Number 4: United States Life Tables Eliminating Certain Causes of Death, 1999, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/lifetables/life89_1_4.pdf (accessed 17 October 2006).
  49. M.D. Wong et al., "Contribution of Major Diseases to Disparities in Mortality," New England Journal of Medicine 347, no. 20 (2002): 1585–1592.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  50. E.W. Gregg et al, "Secular Trends in Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors According to Body Mass Index in U.S. Adults," Journal of the American Medical Association 293, no. 15 (2005): 1868–1874.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  51. CDC, "Cigarette Smoking among Adults—United States, 2003," Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 54, no. 20 (2005): 509–513; and R. Dobson, "U.S. Cigarette Consumption Falls to Lowest Point since 1951," British Medical Journal 332, no. 7543 (2006): 687.[Free Full Text]
  52. M.D. Carroll et al., "Trends in Serum Lipids and Lipoproteins of Adults, 1960–2002," Journal of the American Medical Association 294, no. 14 (2005): 1773–1781.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  53. L.E. Fields et al, "The Burden of Adult Hypertension in the United States 1999 to 2000: A Rising Tide," Hypertension 44, no. 4 (2004): 398–404[Abstract/Free Full Text]; A.I. Qureshi et al., "Prevalence and Trends of Prehypertension and Hypertension in United States: National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 1976 to 2000," Medical Science Monitor 11, no. 9 (2005): CR403–CR409; Eckel et al., "Prevention Conference VII"; and J.P. Boyle et al., "Projection of Diabetes Burden through 2050: Impact of Changing Demography and Disease Prevalence in the U.S.," Diabetes Care 24, no. 11 (2001): 1936–1940.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  54. N.J. Wald and M.R. Law, "A Strategy to Reduce Cardiovascular Disease by More than 80 Percent," British Medical Journal 326, no. 7404 (2003): 1419.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  55. O.H. Franco et al., "The Polymeal: A More Natural, Safer, and Probably Tastier (than the Polypill) Strategy to Reduce Cardiovascular Disease by More than 75 Percent," British Medical Journal 329, no. 7480 (2004): 1447–1450.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
  56. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Healthy People 2010, 2d ed. (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 2000).


Add to CiteULike   Add to Complore   Add to Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us   Add to Digg   Add to Reddit   Add to Technorati    What's this?


This article has been cited by other articles:


Home page
CirculationHome page
R. J. Gibbons, D. W. Jones, T. J. Gardner, L. B. Goldstein, J. H. Moller, and C. W. Yancy
The American Heart Association's 2008 Statement of Principles for Healthcare Reform
Circulation, November 18, 2008; 118(21): 2209 - 2218.
[Full Text] [PDF]


Home page
CirculationHome page
S. Stern
Are We Getting Nearer to Screening for Atherosclerosis?
Circulation, January 1, 2008; 117(1): 122 - 126.
[Full Text] [PDF]


Home page
Med Care Res RevHome page
A. M. Davis, L. M. Vinci, T. M. Okwuosa, A. R. Chase, and E. S. Huang
Cardiovascular Health Disparities: A Systematic Review of Health Care Interventions
Med Care Res Rev, October 1, 2007; 64(5_suppl): 29S - 100S.
[Abstract] [PDF]