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PROLOGUEBuying New TechnologyThe relentless advance of medical technology poses a real dilemma for U.S. health policy. On the one hand, we want better technologies—devices, drugs, diagnostic tools, treatments—because we want better health care, and superior health outcomes and lower costs, if possible. Americans broadly support new technology, as Claudia Schur and Marc Berk report, and whether they ought to or not, they trust their doctors more than other sources of information about the benefits and risks. On the other hand, as a nation we face quandaries in trying to figure out what new technologies are worth and what to pay for them. Producers deserve a reward for innovation, so prices should be high enough to reflect that—unless the innovation isnt what its cracked up to be and doesnt really produce better care or outcomes. Once prices are set, insurance tends to lock them in, and they dont necessarily fall, even if competitors with similar technologies begin to crowd the field. Newer innovations can quickly make recent ones obsolete and upset price stability. Providers who adopt the technology also must be paid, and are at risk if prices are set too low or demand is low because of uncertainty. Thus, they may delay adopting new technologies until the payment—and the benefits—are assured. When it comes to technologies used in inpatient hospital care, Medicare deals with this quandary with a blunt instrument: prospective diagnosis-related group (DRG) payments based on average treatment costs. Updating DRG weights is one way to adjust payments to account for advances in technology, but this process usually lags a couple of years behind the technologys introduction. During that period—or before Medicare makes a so-called national coverage determination—the evidence for what a new technology is really worth is usually scant, as Peter Neumann and colleagues report. Restricting coverage to particular patients while waiting for more evidence from medical studies is one way to deal with the uncertainty. Kalipso Chalkidou and colleagues explore the value of "keeping ones options open" and suggest linking coverage decisions to enrollment in clinical trials, as Medicare has already done in some cases. While this is happening, new technology add-on payments (NTAPs) can cover the additional cost of eligible technologies. Alexandra Clyde and colleagues describe experience with this program and ways to improve it.
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